Technical Analysis Guide

Trend Indicators - Moving Average Convergence Divergence

Some of the disadvantages of moving averages can be avoided by using the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). MACD is the difference between the fast 12-day exponential moving average (fast EMA) and the slow 26-day exponential moving average (slow EMA). Typically, this is plotted with the 9-day EMA of the indicator itself.

SIGNAL = EMA(9) [MACD],

where

  • MACD = EMA(12) [p] - EMA(26) [p];
  • p – price.

Bullish divergence occurs when a new high is not confirmed by a new high of the MACD. It may indicate that the prevailing bullish trend is weak and about to reverse. However, before opening a position against the trend, check other signals, for example, the breakout of the trend line.

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Bearish convergence occurs when a new low is not confirmed by a new low of the MACD. It may indicate that the prevailing bearish trend is weak and reversal may be possible. However it is better not to make a decision based only on this factor and bear in mind that if MACD is close to the zero line this indicates that the prevailing trend is likely to continue.

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Trend Indicators: MACD Bearish Convergence

In order to add Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to the chart use the “Insert -> Indicators -> Oscillators -> MACD” menu sequence.

In MetaTrader 4 MACD is represented as a histogram (MACD) and a signal line (SIGNAL).

MACD signals:

  • If MACD is below the zero line then trend is bearish, if it is above it then the trend is bullish.
  • SIGNAL line and price bullish divergence/bearish convergence – a strong sign that the prevailing trend is weak.
  • If MACD is below zero and there is no bearish convergence, and MACD histogram crosses the slow line (SIGNAL) from below, then there is a greater chance of an upside price rebound.
  • If MACD is above zero and there is no bullish divergence and MACD histogram crosses the slow line (SIGNAL) from above, then there is a greater chance of a downside price rebound.

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